15 February 2013

Editorial: North Korea’s Nuclear Test - A Silver Lining?

By Rory Medcalf

It’s hard to imagine that a mushroom cloud can have a silver lining.  Certainly North Korea’s latest nuclear test (underground, so no actual cloud) is bad for the global nuclear non-proliferation order and bad for stability in an already-troubled North Asia.  It would be better if things had not come to this.

And yet, among the geopolitical repercussions worth watching for, there are at least three that may end up being of net benefit for regional security and stability.
First by stealing the headlines from China-Japan maritime tensions, the nuclear test gives the leadership in both Beijing and Tokyo a chance to focus on a foreign and security policy challenge where their interests are not diametrically at odds.  Shinzo Abe has a chance to look tough on national security without courting war with China. Meanwhile at least some of the Chinese netizens who normally focus on demonizing Japan have another place to direct their outrage, however briefly – at the way North Korea has humiliated China by ignoring its public warnings not to test.
Second, the test offers an opportunity for Japan and South Korea to find common cause, and to look aside from their recent differences over history and their own disputed islands. 
Read the full story at The Diplomat