11 July 2015

Editorial: Assessing the Latest India-Pakistan Prime Ministers Meeting

By Ankit Panda

The Indian and Pakistani prime ministers met for the first time in 2015. What did their meeting accomplish?

As planned, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif met in Ufa, Russia, on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit where both India and Pakistan are currently observers and slated for accession over the next year. The meeting between the leaders of the two rival South Asian states is their first since late 2014, when they met on the sidelines of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit in Kathmandu, Nepal. In August 2014, relations between the two states declined precipitously after a brief period of rapprochement immediately after Modi was elected to office in India. India called off foreign secretary-level talks after Pakistan interfaced with Kashmir-based separatists, and in the months since, other issues, including Pakistan’s treatment of anti-India terrorists and an increase in incidents along the disputed Kashmir border, have kept the bilateral cold.

The meeting in Ufa is being heralded as a breakthrough by India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), but we’ve seen this story before. In concrete terms, the Modi-Sharif meeting in Ufa had a clear list of outcomes. The most contentious is the announcement that Modi will head to Islamabad next year on the occasion of the 19th SAARC Summit. If that visit goes through, it will mark the first time an Indian Prime Minister has traveled to Pakistan since Modi’s BJP predecessor, Atal Behari Vajpayee, did so in 2004. It appears that Modi’s intention to go to Islamabad has not been linked to any broader issues in the relationship, such as Pakistan’s treatment of the terrorists who masterminded the devastating November 26, 2008 terror attacks in Mumbai that killed over 150, including Zaki-ur-Rehman Lakhvi.

In addition to Modi’s plans to visit Pakistan, the two leaders issued a joint statement. The joint statement laid out five steps “to be taken by the two sides,” including a meeting of their national security advisers to be held in New Delhi to discuss terrorism, a meeting of the director generals of India’s Border Security Force and Pakistan’s Rangers followed by a meeting of their respective Director-Generals of Military Operations (DGMOS). Meetings between the DGMOs of the two countries are rare and the last one took place in December 2013–as I wrote in The Diplomat then, the DGMOs meeting back then proved rather hollow and disappointing. Modi and Sharif additionally set out to release arrested fishermen, a regular and mundane show of goodwill at this point. A fourth step noted that the two would work to establish mechanisms “for facilitating religious tourism,” with little additional detail. The final step noted that the two leaders had agreed that the Mumbai terror attacks case trial needed to be expedited.

Read the full story at The Diplomat